Market Rally Surprises, but Will Not Last



bear and bullThe bears have clearly taken over this year’s trading so far, and although the bulls may rear their heads from time to time, the bears will quickly chase them out again. This is exactly what is happening right now. Last week saw oil plummet and a stock rout that prompted many to think that it was 2008 all over again. When the markets rallied on Thursday and Friday, the blissfully blind might have taken it as an indication that markets will come to their senses. However reality seems a little grimmer.

The markets are known to over react to economic data. The slowdown in China and the domino effect it has had so far in emerging economies, have prompted the IMF to lower their global growth expectations for 2016. It doesn’t matter how many jobs the US creates and how much of the windfall from lower energy prices the consumer has to spend, the situation is just too unstable for the markets to sustain the rally. read more…

Where is the Value?



gold on the rise2016 is only 3 weeks old and it has already managed to redefine the concept of growing pains. It seems that growth will not come despite all the pain. Investors have been unable to find a safe haven for their money so far, triggering suspicions of another large scale financial downturn. With the memory of the 2008-09 recession still fresh in our memories, it is necessary to be prudent and find the value hidden in all this turmoil.

Of course, the whole debacle originated in China and the various North American oil patches. The former is facing an economic landing, which however soft it may be, is spooking investors. The latter made oil so cheap, it triggered a pro-cyclical reaction from traditional producers trying to defend market share at all cost. The result, an economic downturn that seems to be spiraling out of control. read more…

The Story Behind the fall of the Canadian Dollar



Canadian dollarsCanadians are surprised, and rightly so. Their currency, the Canadian dollar or the loonie, as it is known for the iconic loon on the 1 dollar coin, has hit historic lows. It seems that there is no end in sight for the loonie’s demise, given that it is close to an all-time low of 62 cents against the US dollar. In fact, some analysts point out that since the currency started floating freely in 1971, this has been its steepest decline. Long gone are the days of parity with the US dollar, and Canada’s southern neighbor has a lot to do with its currency’s decline. read more…

Santa Effect on Bitcoin?



santa-bitcoinThere is no doubt that 2015 has been full of economic volatility. From the price of oil, to stocks, indices and the economic performance of key countries, it has been a year in which finding a safe haven was an almost impossible mission. From within all the volatility, is seems that one of the best performers was Bitcoin. However, it also dipped after a stark rise in October, but it seems to be picking up steam again towards the year’s end. Maybe it is a kind of ‘Santa Claus Rally’ for a strange mix of investors.
read more…

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Financial Markets – Preview for Week Starting 20th March 2016



Major Events of Last Week



Financial Market on the tip of your fingersGlobal equities registered their fifth consecutive week of gains last Friday exemplified by the Dow Jones Industrial Index paring all its 2016’s losses enabling it to break back into positive territory. The primary catalysts driving this bullish advance were US Dollar weakness; rebounding oil prices and the US Federal Reserve adopting a more dovish stance. Prominent analysts advised that the new investor euphoria could mainly be attributed to the Fed reducing market tension by trimming its forward guidance policies. The leading US indices rallied last Friday typified by the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbing almost 115 points; the S&P500 rising by 10 points and the NASDAQ edging higher by nearly 23 points. read more…

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